Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 51.2% vs Lafferty 43.5% (+10.4%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 56.3%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 52.3%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 53.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Carpenter
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (299)
40.9% (232)
+12.3%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (86)
40.0% (30)
+6.5%
On power play, Lafferty has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Carpenter shoots right. Lafferty is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Lafferty
Home
54.6% (207)
38.2% (123)
Away
48.1% (181)
43.6% (140)
By Period
Carpenter
Lafferty
P1
52.3%
41.6%
P2
51.5%
36.7%
P3
50.8%
45.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
41.1%