Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.8%). Carpenter wins 61.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.2% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 56.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 57.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Carpenter
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (113)
55.3% (628)
-2.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.1% (216)
+44.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (10)
40.2% (87)
+19.8%
On power play, Carpenter has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Carpenter shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Stamkos
Home
58.5% (65)
55.5% (499)
Away
49.2% (59)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Carpenter
Stamkos
P1
65.8%
50.7%
P2
50.0%
53.8%
P3
47.9%
55.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%