Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 48.2% vs Blueger 52.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blueger 68.1%
Defensive zone
Blueger 69.3%
Neutral zone
Blueger 64.9%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Carpenter
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Carpenter
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
0
Carpenter
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (404)
54.2% (590)
-5.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
71.4% (14)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
48.0% (177)
-4.4%
On power play, Carpenter has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Carpenter shoots right. Blueger is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Blueger
Home
48.9% (274)
53.2% (378)
Away
46.6% (232)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Carpenter
Blueger
P1
51.9%
54.3%
P2
49.4%
56.7%
P3
41.8%
48.9%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |