Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 52.0% vs Bozak 53.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 56.4%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 54.9%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 64.6%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Carpenter
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Carpenter
Bozak
Last 6: Carpenter 1-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Carpenter
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carpenter
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Carpenter
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (267)
55.4% (719)
-1.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
45.1% (51)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
50.0% (60)
+0.0%
On power play, Bozak has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Carpenter is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Carpenter shoots right. Bozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Bozak
Home
47.6% (145)
55.5% (443)
Away
57.1% (161)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Carpenter
Bozak
P1
51.7%
53.3%
P2
47.6%
54.7%
P3
57.4%
55.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
52.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |