Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Carpenter wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carpenter 51.2% vs Bozak 46.2% (+6.3%)
Offensive zone
Bozak 72.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 60.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 51.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Carpenter
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carpenter
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (299)
46.7% (338)
+6.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
50.0% (6)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (86)
32.6% (43)
+13.9%
On power play, Bozak has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Carpenter shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Carpenter
Bozak
Home
54.6% (207)
47.9% (194)
Away
48.1% (181)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Carpenter
Bozak
P1
52.3%
40.2%
P2
51.5%
51.4%
P3
50.8%
43.1%
Final 5 min
44.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%