Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Little wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 46.5% vs Carter 50.5% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 57.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 68.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.6%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Little
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Little
Carter
Last 6: Little 5-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
0
Little
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
1
0
Little
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (982)
50.7% (404)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.4% (166)
57.1% (7)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (170)
50.0% (62)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Little is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (887).
Little shoots right. Carter is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Little
Carter
Home
48.6% (623)
48.2% (220)
Away
44.2% (708)
52.7% (258)
By Period
Little
Carter
P1
46.3%
53.2%
P2
44.2%
50.3%
P3
48.1%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 04:49 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Bryan Little |