Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Nichol 58.2% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 72.2%
Defensive zone
Nichol 84.9%
Neutral zone
Nichol 64.3%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Carter
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carter
Nichol
Last 7: Carter 5-2 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Nichol
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Nichol
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (978)
59.0% (948)
-8.9%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
42.9% (14)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
59.5% (185)
-13.1%
On power play, Carter has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Carter shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Carter
Nichol
Home
49.0% (506)
59.7% (576)
Away
50.3% (632)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Carter
Nichol
P1
50.5%
58.4%
P2
48.9%
57.3%
P3
50.0%
61.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 01:46 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |