Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Ott 55.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 78.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 80.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.4%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Carter
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Carter
Ott
Last 9: Carter 2-7 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
2
Carter
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
1
5
Carter
Ott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (978)
57.2% (2,802)
-7.1%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
55.4% (567)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
49.9% (853)
-3.5%
On even strength, Ott has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Carter shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Carter
Ott
Home
49.0% (506)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
50.3% (632)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Carter
Ott
P1
50.5%
56.7%
P2
48.9%
53.9%
P3
50.0%
55.7%
OT
33.3%
60.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 12:14 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 10, 2010 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Steve Ott |