Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Stapleton 46.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 74.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.3%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 53.5%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Carter
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Stapleton
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
0
1
Carter
Stapleton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Carter
Stapleton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (390)
44.0% (207)
+5.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
66.7% (3)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (33)
33.3% (3)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Carter is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Carter shoots left. Stapleton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Carter
Stapleton
Home
51.5% (171)
44.9% (107)
Away
48.7% (261)
45.0% (109)
By Period
Carter
Stapleton
P1
50.7%
59.4%
P2
48.4%
39.0%
P3
50.4%
38.7%
Final 5 min
43.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |