Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Stapleton 47.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stapleton 64.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 71.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 53.5%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Carter
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Carter
Stapleton
Last 8: Carter 4-4 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
0
1
Carter
Stapleton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
4
3
Carter
Stapleton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (978)
45.6% (421)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
72.7% (11)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
50.0% (6)
-3.6%
On power play, Stapleton has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Carter shoots left. Stapleton is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Carter
Stapleton
Home
49.0% (506)
47.3% (222)
Away
50.3% (632)
46.1% (219)
By Period
Carter
Stapleton
P1
50.5%
56.5%
P2
48.9%
42.4%
P3
50.0%
42.3%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2012 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |