Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 50.5% vs Seguin 49.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 55.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Carter
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carter
Seguin
Last 5: Carter 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Carter
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (404)
48.9% (274)
+1.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
53.8% (26)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (62)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On power play, Carter has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Carter is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Carter shoots left. Seguin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Carter
Seguin
Home
48.2% (220)
53.5% (129)
Away
52.7% (258)
46.6% (174)
By Period
Carter
Seguin
P1
53.2%
52.3%
P2
50.3%
48.1%
P3
48.7%
47.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |