Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 54.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 58.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 61.7%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Carter
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Carter
Seguin
Last 6: Carter 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Carter
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Carter
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (978)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.6%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
55.9% (810)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
49.3% (762)
-2.9%
On power play, Carter has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Carter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Carter shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Carter
Seguin
Home
49.0% (506)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
50.3% (632)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Carter
Seguin
P1
50.5%
52.8%
P2
48.9%
53.3%
P3
50.0%
54.7%
OT
33.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 10:17 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |