Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.8% vs Gourde 48.3% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 50.6%
Neutral zone
Carter 50.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Carter
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (978)
48.5% (4,763)
+1.6%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
57.5% (367)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
39.9% (534)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Carter shoots left. Gourde is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,791).
Home / Away
Carter
Gourde
Home
49.0% (506)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
50.3% (632)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Carter
Gourde
P1
50.5%
50.4%
P2
48.9%
47.2%
P3
50.0%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%