Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Getzlaf 50.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 67.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 67.5%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 66.5%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Carter
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Carter
Getzlaf
Last 10: Carter 3-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
8
Carter
Getzlaf
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
3
Carter
Getzlaf
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Carter
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
50.1% (895)
+3.3%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
61.0% (59)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
43.1% (58)
-0.4%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Carter is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Carter shoots right. Getzlaf is 61.6% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Carter
Getzlaf
Home
54.8% (753)
52.0% (465)
Away
48.6% (662)
48.8% (547)
By Period
Carter
Getzlaf
P1
52.8%
48.3%
P2
53.0%
51.4%
P3
49.9%
51.5%
OT
53.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
49.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 06:47 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |