Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.6% vs Getzlaf 48.1% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 63.5%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 68.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 68.4%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Carter
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Carter
Getzlaf
Last 7: Carter 2-5 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Carter
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
3
Carter
Getzlaf
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (307)
47.2% (708)
+5.9%
Power Play
62.5% (64)
56.9% (72)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
70.4% (27)
44.9% (69)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Carter is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Carter shoots right. Getzlaf is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Carter
Getzlaf
Home
58.9% (285)
51.2% (404)
Away
47.8% (113)
44.7% (445)
By Period
Carter
Getzlaf
P1
54.9%
45.6%
P2
57.5%
44.8%
P3
56.0%
52.8%
OT
25.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | OT | 01:04 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |