Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Carter wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Getzlaf 53.9% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 53.0%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 57.7%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 58.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Carter
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Carter
Getzlaf
Last 10: Carter 9-1 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
5
1
Carter
Getzlaf
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
4
Carter
Getzlaf
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
6
1
Carter
Getzlaf
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
54.3% (879)
-4.4%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
62.8% (78)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
43.9% (57)
+2.8%
On even strength, Getzlaf has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Carter is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Carter shoots right. Getzlaf is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Carter
Getzlaf
Home
52.4% (638)
56.6% (535)
Away
50.0% (546)
51.8% (479)
By Period
Carter
Getzlaf
P1
49.6%
55.6%
P2
50.9%
55.7%
P3
53.0%
51.5%
OT
58.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2019 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |