Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 51.3%). Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Carter wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.1% vs Getzlaf 51.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 54.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 55.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Carter
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Carter
Getzlaf
Last 6: Carter 4-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (552)
51.6% (812)
+0.6%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
55.3% (94)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (100)
45.2% (126)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Carter is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Carter shoots right. Getzlaf is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Carter
Getzlaf
Home
51.2% (324)
52.5% (531)
Away
51.2% (422)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Carter
Getzlaf
P1
49.8%
47.8%
P2
52.8%
54.6%
P3
51.2%
52.6%
OT
40.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 2 | 10:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |