Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Getzlaf 48.1% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Staal
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Staal
Getzlaf
Last 9: Staal 7-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
47.2% (708)
+8.7%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
56.9% (72)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
44.9% (69)
+5.7%
On power play, Staal has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Staal shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Staal
Getzlaf
Home
57.2% (684)
51.2% (404)
Away
56.0% (654)
44.7% (445)
By Period
Staal
Getzlaf
P1
53.0%
45.6%
P2
58.2%
44.8%
P3
58.9%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
57.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2017 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |