Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 54.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 72.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 65.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Paul
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Paul
Getzlaf
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
4
Paul
Getzlaf
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
3
Paul
Getzlaf
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
8
2
Paul
Getzlaf
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
49.6% (10,258)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
54.9% (1,381)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
44.8% (1,055)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Paul
Getzlaf
Home
52.7% (2,412)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Paul
Getzlaf
P1
53.9%
49.2%
P2
51.0%
50.4%
P3
52.0%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
49.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | Nick Paul |