Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Gaustad wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaustad 55.9% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 76.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 93.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 72.7%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Last 10: Gaustad 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Gaustad
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
8
0
Gaustad
Getzlaf
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Gaustad
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (821)
50.6% (1,060)
+7.1%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
48.3% (118)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
52.3% (260)
54.9% (71)
-2.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Gaustad shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Gaustad
Getzlaf
Home
58.9% (577)
51.9% (622)
Away
53.7% (520)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Gaustad
Getzlaf
P1
53.1%
49.4%
P2
57.9%
53.1%
P3
57.8%
50.5%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |