Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 52.6%). Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Getzlaf wins 60.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 53.0% vs Johansen 52.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 66.6%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 68.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 50.4%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Getzlaf
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Getzlaf
Johansen
Last 7: Getzlaf 4-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
1
Getzlaf
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Getzlaf
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (772)
49.4% (1,010)
+3.1%
Power Play
60.8% (153)
62.3% (236)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (100)
67.2% (67)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Getzlaf is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Getzlaf shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Johansen
Home
56.0% (557)
54.7% (655)
Away
50.0% (468)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Getzlaf
Johansen
P1
52.2%
52.2%
P2
53.0%
50.7%
P3
54.9%
54.8%
OT
46.7%
53.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |