Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Getzlaf wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 49.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 40-22 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 67.5%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 85.6%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 80.7%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Getzlaf
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
40
(62 meetings)
22
40
Getzlaf
Kesler
Last 10: Getzlaf 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
6
Getzlaf
Kesler
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
16
Getzlaf
Kesler
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
11
18
Getzlaf
Kesler
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (10,258)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.8%
Power Play
54.9% (1,381)
60.7% (1,437)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (1,055)
50.5% (1,908)
-5.7%
On even strength, Kesler has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Getzlaf shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Kesler
Home
51.8% (6,270)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.8% (6,495)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Getzlaf
Kesler
P1
49.2%
56.5%
P2
50.4%
55.9%
P3
49.7%
56.1%
OT
49.1%
46.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2014 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 2 | 15:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 02:37 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 3, 2012 | OT | 00:36 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |