Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 51.5% vs Hertl 54.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 58.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 61.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 57.7%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Getzlaf
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Getzlaf
Hertl
Last 10: Getzlaf 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Getzlaf
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
5
Getzlaf
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
5
Getzlaf
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
55.7% (648)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
60.4% (149)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (59)
42.2% (83)
+7.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Getzlaf is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (555).
Getzlaf shoots right. Hertl is 61.8% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Hertl
Home
52.3% (333)
58.3% (391)
Away
51.3% (343)
52.8% (489)
By Period
Getzlaf
Hertl
P1
55.5%
58.9%
P2
45.6%
51.5%
P3
53.7%
54.3%
OT
75.0%
76.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |