Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 52.5%). Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 53.0% vs Hertl 52.3% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 52.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 53.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.5%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Getzlaf
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Getzlaf
Hertl
Last 5: Getzlaf 3-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
0
Getzlaf
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Getzlaf
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (772)
51.6% (1,084)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.8% (153)
61.0% (246)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (100)
44.1% (136)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Getzlaf shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Hertl
Home
56.0% (557)
55.2% (696)
Away
50.0% (468)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Getzlaf
Hertl
P1
52.2%
55.4%
P2
53.0%
54.8%
P3
54.9%
48.9%
OT
46.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |