Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.9%). Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 53.0% vs Nosek 53.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 63.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 66.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.9%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Getzlaf
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Getzlaf
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Getzlaf
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Getzlaf
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (772)
55.1% (557)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.8% (153)
50.0% (4)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (100)
47.7% (111)
+0.3%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Getzlaf shoots right. Nosek is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Nosek
Home
56.0% (557)
52.3% (342)
Away
50.0% (468)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Getzlaf
Nosek
P1
52.2%
49.0%
P2
53.0%
53.8%
P3
54.9%
57.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |