Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Evans wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.4% vs Greene 45.0% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 65.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 85.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Evans
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Evans
Greene
Last 5: Evans 4-1 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Greene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
0
Evans
Greene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Greene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (477)
43.8% (504)
+12.4%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
48.3% (58)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (204)
44.1% (143)
+11.3%
On power play, Evans has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Evans shoots right. Greene is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Evans
Greene
Home
55.3% (374)
47.5% (373)
Away
57.1% (317)
40.7% (332)
By Period
Evans
Greene
P1
58.5%
47.2%
P2
55.7%
38.8%
P3
53.9%
47.1%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Greene
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |