Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Greene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Greene shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.2% vs Greene 45.0% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Greene leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Greene 64.7%
Defensive zone
Greene 83.3%
Neutral zone
Greene 84.1%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 79.5%
20.5%
79.5%
Toews
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Toews
Greene
Last 10: Toews 3-7 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Greene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
3
5
Toews
Greene
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greene
0
3
Toews
Greene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
62.4% (692)
43.8% (504)
+18.6%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
48.3% (58)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
44.1% (143)
+2.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Toews shoots left. Greene is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Toews
Greene
Home
60.9% (435)
47.5% (373)
Away
61.8% (424)
40.7% (332)
By Period
Toews
Greene
P1
60.2%
47.2%
P2
65.7%
38.8%
P3
58.2%
47.1%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▬
61.5%
61.4%
Greene
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |