Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Greene wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greene 43.9% vs Couturier 53.6% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greene 79.2%
Defensive zone
Greene 82.0%
Neutral zone
Greene 78.7%
Result
Ryan Greene favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Greene
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Greene
Couturier
Last 5: Greene 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Greene
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Greene
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greene
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (512)
53.9% (792)
-10.3%
Power Play
46.8% (62)
62.9% (70)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (167)
51.3% (234)
-11.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Greene is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Greene shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Greene
Couturier
Home
47.4% (382)
51.4% (541)
Away
38.4% (359)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Greene
Couturier
P1
46.8%
56.0%
P2
37.6%
52.6%
P3
45.2%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
42.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan Greene |