Scouting Report
Keegan Kolesar holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Kolesar wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kolesar 47.7% vs Hartman 43.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 76.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 57.3%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 63.9%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Kolesar
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kolesar
Hartman
Last 6: Kolesar 4-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kolesar
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kolesar
2
0
Kolesar
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kolesar
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kolesar
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (134)
40.9% (413)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.9% (36)
-38.9%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Kolesar is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Kolesar shoots right. Hartman is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Kolesar
Hartman
Home
41.2% (51)
46.2% (249)
Away
48.8% (84)
36.4% (228)
By Period
Kolesar
Hartman
P1
50.0%
45.4%
P2
46.9%
39.1%
P3
38.9%
40.2%
Final 5 min
39.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
45.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |