Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Hartman 47.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 77.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Bonino
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bonino
Hartman
Last 7: Bonino 3-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Bonino
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Bonino
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
47.1% (649)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
45.2% (73)
+3.3%
On even strength, Bonino has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Bonino
Hartman
Home
53.1% (177)
46.5% (361)
Away
49.3% (229)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Bonino
Hartman
P1
55.9%
45.1%
P2
49.6%
44.4%
P3
47.6%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |