Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hartman wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.5% vs Bennett 48.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 53.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 66.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 62.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Hartman
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hartman
Bennett
Last 8: Hartman 2-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Hartman
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Hartman
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Hartman
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (830)
46.4% (780)
-1.6%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
57.3% (150)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
47.8% (46)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Hartman shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
Hartman
Bennett
Home
45.0% (515)
50.3% (519)
Away
44.9% (423)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Hartman
Bennett
P1
46.5%
47.5%
P2
39.9%
46.6%
P3
48.6%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |