Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 82.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 59.2%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 77.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Hartman
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Hartman
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
0
Hartman
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
49.4% (259)
-6.8%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
54.4% (136)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
47.9% (71)
+0.9%
On power play, Reinhart has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hartman is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Hartman shoots right. Reinhart is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Hartman
Reinhart
Home
43.4% (288)
54.9% (235)
Away
42.4% (276)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Hartman
Reinhart
P1
43.1%
52.3%
P2
43.4%
50.0%
P3
42.0%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 12:22 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |