Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hartman wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 44.0% vs Crosby 52.8% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 86.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 66.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Hartman
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hartman
Crosby
Last 7: Hartman 4-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Hartman
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
0
Hartman
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (495)
52.5% (1,443)
-9.9%
Power Play
38.5% (26)
54.7% (369)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (43)
55.9% (34)
-7.1%
On power play, Crosby has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Hartman shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Hartman
Crosby
Home
43.4% (288)
53.0% (931)
Away
42.4% (276)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Hartman
Crosby
P1
43.1%
50.3%
P2
43.4%
55.4%
P3
42.0%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |