Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hartman wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hartman 45.5% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 78.1%
Defensive zone
Hartman 82.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 76.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Hartman
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hartman
Trocheck
Last 6: Hartman 1-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
0
Hartman
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Hartman
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Hartman
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hartman
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (830)
57.8% (626)
-13.0%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
63.6% (151)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
44.0% (141)
-6.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hartman is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Hartman shoots right. Trocheck is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Hartman
Trocheck
Home
45.0% (515)
54.4% (390)
Away
44.9% (423)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Hartman
Trocheck
P1
46.5%
56.4%
P2
39.9%
58.7%
P3
48.6%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.5%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |