Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Killorn wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Killorn 45.6% vs Johansen 52.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Killorn 59.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 50.9%
Neutral zone
Killorn 53.2%
Result
Alex Killorn favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Killorn
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Killorn
Johansen
Last 5: Killorn 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Killorn
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Killorn
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Killorn
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Killorn
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (137)
52.5% (1,002)
-10.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.1% (198)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
49.5% (111)
-49.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Killorn is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Killorn shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Killorn
Johansen
Home
44.0% (75)
54.7% (632)
Away
42.3% (97)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Killorn
Johansen
P1
47.8%
54.3%
P2
46.3%
53.5%
P3
35.7%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Killorn
28.0%▼
33.5%
43.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2014 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Alex Killorn |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Alex Killorn |