Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 71.3%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 80.9%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 75.5%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Wheeler
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
17
(28 meetings)
11
17
Wheeler
Johansen
Last 10: Wheeler 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
6
Wheeler
Johansen
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
7
Wheeler
Johansen
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Wheeler
Johansen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
53.1% (11,017)
-6.4%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
56.2% (2,163)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
50.5% (978)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Johansen
Home
47.5% (883)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
44.2% (822)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Wheeler
Johansen
P1
45.0%
53.2%
P2
48.2%
53.9%
P3
44.5%
52.8%
OT
37.5%
58.2%
Final 5 min
42.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |