Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dube wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dube 47.1% vs Johansen 53.3% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 69.5%
Defensive zone
Dube 51.5%
Neutral zone
Dube 56.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Dube
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dube
Johansen
Last 5: Dube 2-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Dube
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dube
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (39)
54.7% (1,149)
-13.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
49.7% (191)
-49.7%
On power play, Johansen has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dube is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Dube shoots left. Johansen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Dube
Johansen
Home
55.6% (9)
52.5% (739)
Away
35.5% (31)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Dube
Johansen
P1
45.5%
53.8%
P2
30.8%
55.8%
P3
40.0%
51.2%
Final 5 min
25.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dube
54.0%▲
49.5%
40.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Dillon Dube |