Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shore wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 44.2% vs Johansen 52.6% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 79.4%
Defensive zone
Johansen 74.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 74.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Shore
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shore
Johansen
Last 6: Shore 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shore
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shore
2
1
Shore
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
1
0
Shore
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (169)
52.5% (1,002)
-11.7%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
56.1% (198)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
49.5% (111)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Shore is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Shore shoots right. Johansen is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Shore
Johansen
Home
44.2% (104)
54.7% (632)
Away
38.5% (104)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Shore
Johansen
P1
42.9%
54.3%
P2
39.0%
53.5%
P3
42.6%
50.9%
Final 5 min
35.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
41.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |