Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 52-44 in 96 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 52.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Staal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
52
(96 meetings)
44
52
Staal
Johansen
Last 10: Staal 1-9 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
17
20
Staal
Johansen
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
8
16
Staal
Johansen
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
19
16
Staal
Johansen
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.6%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
56.2% (2,163)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
50.5% (978)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Staal
Johansen
Home
52.6% (6,558)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Staal
Johansen
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
51.1%
53.9%
P3
50.4%
52.8%
OT
55.2%
58.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 00:44 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:21 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |