Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Johansen 52.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 73.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 65.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 68.8%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Haula
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Haula
Johansen
Last 6: Haula 1-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Haula
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Haula
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
51.9% (597)
+5.7%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
57.9% (133)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
54.3% (81)
-8.8%
On power play, Johansen has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Haula
Johansen
Home
56.3% (449)
55.8% (387)
Away
53.3% (443)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Haula
Johansen
P1
58.4%
50.0%
P2
54.9%
56.2%
P3
52.0%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Erik Haula |