Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.3% vs Johansen 51.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 80.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 52.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 62.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Stoll
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Stoll
Johansen
Last 8: Stoll 3-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Stoll
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
3
Stoll
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (539)
51.2% (447)
+7.2%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
53.4% (73)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
44.4% (9)
+2.8%
On even strength, Stoll has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stoll is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Stoll shoots right. Johansen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Stoll
Johansen
Home
57.3% (358)
54.9% (255)
Away
54.9% (388)
48.2% (274)
By Period
Stoll
Johansen
P1
47.8%
51.7%
P2
59.5%
49.4%
P3
58.1%
51.8%
OT
85.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
56.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |