Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 57.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 60.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 56.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Spezza
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Spezza
Johansen
Last 10: Spezza 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Spezza
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spezza
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (697)
54.7% (1,149)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (105)
49.7% (191)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
47.9% (121)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Spezza is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Spezza shoots right. Johansen is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Spezza
Johansen
Home
58.2% (376)
52.5% (739)
Away
58.2% (431)
54.6% (722)
By Period
Spezza
Johansen
P1
63.3%
53.8%
P2
54.9%
55.8%
P3
57.4%
51.2%
OT
33.3%
52.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:05 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 05:57 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 10:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |