Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Johansen
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.6%). Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.4% vs Johansen 54.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 67.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 54.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Pageau
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pageau
Johansen
Last 7: Pageau 5-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Pageau
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (831)
54.0% (1,251)
+1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
58.9% (158)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
55.6% (63)
-4.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Pageau is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Pageau shoots right. Johansen is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Pageau
Johansen
Home
58.4% (502)
56.3% (746)
Away
51.4% (516)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Pageau
Johansen
P1
57.3%
54.0%
P2
56.7%
53.8%
P3
50.4%
55.7%
OT
60.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |