Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Johansen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 54.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Pageau
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pageau
Johansen
Last 6: Pageau 5-1 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Pageau
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
51.9% (597)
+5.2%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
57.9% (133)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
54.3% (81)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Pageau is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Pageau shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Pageau
Johansen
Home
57.0% (618)
55.8% (387)
Away
53.9% (607)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Pageau
Johansen
P1
54.4%
50.0%
P2
61.0%
56.2%
P3
51.0%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |