Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 53.4%). Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 34-30 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 59.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 58.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 55.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Thornton
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
34
(64 meetings)
30
34
Thornton
Johansen
Last 10: Thornton 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
11
14
Thornton
Johansen
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
10
15
Thornton
Johansen
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
9
5
Thornton
Johansen
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
53.1% (11,017)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
56.2% (2,163)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
50.5% (978)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Thornton
Johansen
Home
55.8% (4,271)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Thornton
Johansen
P1
55.0%
53.2%
P2
53.3%
53.9%
P3
54.4%
52.8%
OT
56.4%
58.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:27 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |