Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Johansen 52.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 86.1%
Defensive zone
Ward 51.2%
Neutral zone
Johansen 62.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Ward
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ward
Johansen
Last 6: Ward 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
1
0
Ward
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ward
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (353)
51.9% (1,006)
-2.6%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
56.0% (207)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (98)
42.4% (33)
-7.7%
On power play, Ward has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Ward is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Ward shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Ward
Johansen
Home
48.4% (219)
56.4% (633)
Away
47.8% (274)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Ward
Johansen
P1
43.0%
51.4%
P2
51.4%
52.9%
P3
50.0%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
84.6%
Final 5 min
41.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 07:30 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Joel Ward |