Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Johansen 52.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 61.1%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 76.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 60.0%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Brodziak
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Brodziak
Johansen
Last 7: Brodziak 2-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Brodziak
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Brodziak
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (461)
51.9% (1,006)
-0.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
56.0% (207)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (88)
42.4% (33)
-1.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +27.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Brodziak is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Brodziak shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Johansen
Home
45.8% (277)
56.4% (633)
Away
53.0% (279)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Brodziak
Johansen
P1
50.0%
51.4%
P2
48.8%
52.9%
P3
49.7%
51.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 07:45 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |