Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 47.4% vs Johansen 52.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 84.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 51.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 63.0%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Backlund
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Backlund
Johansen
Last 10: Backlund 7-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Backlund
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (912)
51.9% (1,006)
-3.2%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
56.0% (207)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (149)
42.4% (33)
-4.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Backlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Backlund shoots left. Johansen is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johansen
Home
48.2% (596)
56.4% (633)
Away
46.1% (547)
48.1% (613)
By Period
Backlund
Johansen
P1
49.3%
51.4%
P2
44.7%
52.9%
P3
47.0%
51.7%
OT
72.7%
84.6%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
47.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |