Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Johansen 58.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 71.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 81.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 70.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Backlund
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Backlund
Johansen
Last 10: Backlund 1-9 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
7
Backlund
Johansen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Backlund
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
59.8% (625)
-7.9%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
58.2% (196)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
51.9% (27)
-7.6%
On even strength, Johansen has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Backlund shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Backlund
Johansen
Home
51.9% (673)
60.3% (436)
Away
49.9% (713)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Backlund
Johansen
P1
51.4%
61.3%
P2
50.5%
60.4%
P3
51.4%
56.0%
OT
35.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |