Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.8% vs Johansen 52.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 62.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 63.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Thompson
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Thompson
Johansen
Last 10: Thompson 1-9 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Thompson
Johansen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
5
Thompson
Johansen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (785)
52.5% (1,002)
-0.3%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
56.1% (198)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
49.5% (111)
-3.8%
On power play, Johansen has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Thompson is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Thompson shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Thompson
Johansen
Home
54.1% (475)
54.7% (632)
Away
47.9% (499)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Thompson
Johansen
P1
50.0%
54.3%
P2
49.5%
53.5%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
35.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2014 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 11, 2014 | 1 | 13:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 1 | 09:01 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |